Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.632698 1.956950 2.321718 2.761399 3.275897 3.857730 4.564371
2026-02-01 1.106271 1.496334 1.984014 2.634329 3.474032 4.516454 5.902569
2026-02-08 0.833169 1.245864 1.808568 2.622680 3.759271 5.276756 7.440177
2026-02-15 0.657622 1.072579 1.682028 2.626709 4.034308 6.029538 9.039859
2026-02-22 0.524738 0.925787 1.555411 2.592845 4.229287 6.672210 10.541373
2026-03-01 0.407226 0.774330 1.388152 2.459013 4.239591 7.026788 11.640161
2026-03-08 0.335069 0.682099 1.296369 2.424213 4.389162 7.595719 13.110987
2026-03-15 0.281383 0.610761 1.225636 2.409263 4.561571 8.209406 14.705116
2026-03-22 0.257666 0.591455 1.243935 2.552014 5.018967 9.336161 17.251339
2026-03-29 0.229615 0.557161 1.227204 2.624998 5.356265 10.286179 19.581579
2026-04-05 0.209291 0.534958 1.229947 2.734070 5.770303 11.407555 22.310509
2026-04-12 0.181872 0.490838 1.179799 2.728484 5.960610 12.136535 24.393279
2026-04-19 0.150826 0.431948 1.089431 2.628958 5.958573 12.518171 25.896282
2026-04-26 0.124936 0.379741 1.004636 2.528079 5.940120 12.865271 27.367409
2026-05-03 0.108935 0.349583 0.965701 2.523270 6.122462 13.623347 29.702917
2026-05-10 0.095820 0.324183 0.933676 2.529158 6.327557 14.444973 32.235257
2026-05-17 0.082839 0.295845 0.888915 2.497059 6.441984 15.086781 34.454288
2026-05-24 0.067948 0.257546 0.810411 2.367941 6.314069 15.197377 35.572255
2026-05-31 0.058838 0.235291 0.771533 2.334377 6.408385 15.798795 37.783594
2026-06-07 0.051617 0.217403 0.741659 2.319950 6.547150 16.510841 40.293617
2026-06-14 0.049629 0.217687 0.765811 2.457880 7.085234 18.180510 45.058755
2026-06-21 0.045920 0.210594 0.766114 2.528406 7.457662 19.497002 49.129276
2026-06-28 0.043363 0.207286 0.777828 2.633814 7.933586 21.098091 53.972247